Last weekend before lockdown? Brits hit the town for final night out before Christmas amid Omicron wave and calls from SAGE for more urgent restrictions
- Experts have warned that restrictions ‘similar in scale to the national lockdown’ are needed amid Omicron
- But Brits ignored warnings and were pictured enjoying Saturday night pre-Christmas freedom while they can
- Revellers across the country made the most of the weekend amid the looming possibility of lockdown
Brits are rushing to enjoy their final weekend before Christmas despite pleas from scientists to be careful amid a rising wave of Covid.
A major incident has been declared in London amid ‘huge concern’ at the spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant across the capital, but revellers across the country are still heading out with friends to enjoy drinks at pubs and clubs.
Experts have warned that restrictions ‘similar in scale to the national lockdown’ are needed to keep hospital admissions from coronavirus below previous peaks.
But Brits wearing fancy dress, Christmas jumpers or their usual weekend finery ignored warnings and were pictured enjoying their freedom while they still can.
Amid high numbers of cases of the Omicron variant of coronavirus, documents released by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) on Saturday revealed the bleak picture painted by advisers throughout December as the threat from the strain rose.
Advice included that indoor mixing is the ‘biggest risk factor’ for the spread of the variant of coronavirus, and that large gatherings risked creating ‘multiple spreading events’.
While the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O), said in documents released on Saturday but dated December 8 that in almost all modelling ‘a significant reduction in transmission (similar in scale to the national lockdown implemented in January 2021 and the pingdemic’ in July 2021) is required to keep hospitalisations below the height of previous peaks’.
The advice from 10 days ago adds: ‘Earlier intervention also reduces the wave of hospitalisations.’
Newcastle: Revellers enjoy a night out on the final Saturday evening before Christmas, with festive jumpers and fancy dress
Leeds: Revellers make the most of the last Saturday night before Christmas amid warnings over a rising wave of Omicron
Leeds: A group of revellers, mostly wearing Christmas jumpers, are pictured enjoying the last weekend before Christmas
Revellers wearing matching gold and black outfits make the most of Saturday night out in Leeds ahead of Christmas
Leeds: Brits wearing fancy dress, Christmas jumpers or their usual weekend finery ignored warnings and were pictured enjoying their freedom while they can
Newcastle: Revellers enjoy a night out on the final Saturday evening before Christmas amid warnings of more restrictions
A major incident has been declared in London amid ‘huge concern’ at the spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant across the capital, but revellers across the country are still heading out with friends to enjoy drinks at pubs and clubs (pictured: Newcastle)
Amid high numbers of cases of the Omicron variant of coronavirus, documents released by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) on Saturday revealed the bleak picture painted by advisers throughout December as the threat from the strain rose (pictured: Newcastle)
Minutes from a Sage meeting on Thursday said stricter measures could be needed including ‘reducing group sizes, increasing physical distancing, reducing duration of contacts and closing high-risk premises’.
The experts warned that even if transmission rates were reduced, hospital admission levels were likely to be between 1,000 and 2,000 per day in England by the end of the year.
And modelling showed that if ministers stuck to the current Plan B measures, there would be a peak of 3,000 per day.
It comes as the number of deaths in England of people with the Omicron variant has risen to seven, the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) said, from the previous figure of one.
Hospital admissions in England for people with confirmed or suspected Omicron rose to 85, from 65.
The UKHSA said there had been 10,059 additional confirmed cases of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 reported across the UK.
This brings the total confirmed cases of the variant in the UK to 24,968.
The documents said: ‘Some scenarios have significantly worse outcomes during the first few months of 2022 but there are many uncertainties.’
And the ramping up of the booster programme would not help, as many of those admissions would be those who are infected now.
They warned that delaying introducing stricter measures until 2022 would ‘greatly reduce the effectiveness of such interventions and make it is less likely that these would prevent considerable pressure on health and care settings’.
The number of confirmed cases of Omicron in England increased by 69 per cent on the previous day’s total – up 9,427 to 23,168, figures from the UKHSA showed today
Covid hospital admissions have spiked by more than a third in a week in Britain’s Omicron hotspot of London, official data shows
It comes after reports that officials had drawn up plans for a two-week circuit breaker lockdown after Christmas.
The Liberal Democrats have called for Parliament to be recalled on Monday to debate the next steps.
Is it REALLY safe to cut the 10-day quarantine?
How long are people infectious for?
Britain’s Covid’s self-isolation sentence could be halved to just five days, some academics have argued.
Data suggests roughly 98 per cent of virus transmission occurs either before people become ill, or within five days of symptoms starting.
Dr Muge Cevik, an infectious disease expert from the University of St Andrews, said earlier this year: ‘Given most transmission happens very early on, the isolation period could be much shorter for the cases.
‘Viral load peaks pretty quickly, so people are highly infectious within the first few days.’
How long can Covid patients test positive for?
Lateral flow tests, which offer results in as little as 15 minutes, work best for sniffing out the people who are most infectious.
They look for viral proteins called antigens in samples taken from the nose and throat.
But the kits are less sensitive than gold-standard PCRs, which sees swabs sent off to laboratories to be analysed for viral genetic material.
It means they are less likely to spot someone when they are infected, but also less likely to give a positive result when someone has gone past their peak infectiousness and have a lower viral load.
PCRs, on the other hand, are extremely sensitive and can pick up the presence of viral fragments long after the illness has cleared.
For this reason, a positive PCR result does not always mean someone is still contagious.
Party leader Sir Ed Davey said: ‘Throughout the pandemic, Boris Johnson has consistently reacted too late, missed opportunities and refused to act when the scientists told him to.
‘That is why the Liberal Democrats are calling on the government to recall a virtual Parliament on Monday at this time of national crisis.
‘We cannot allow the Prime Minister to sit on his hands while the NHS and businesses are on the brink of collapse.
‘Ministers must explain the latest scientific advice to MPs and ensure a proper debate over what future Covid measures, including support to help businesses through this increasingly difficult period.’
Earlier, Stephen Reicher, professor of social psychology at the University of St Andrews and member of Sage, said it was clear that Plan B measures alone would not be enough to stop the spiralling numbers of cases.
Professor Reicher, who was speaking to Times Radio in a personal capacity, said the time to act was now.
Prof Reicher said: ‘The only way really, or at least the most effective way, we can have an immediate effect is to decrease the number of contacts we have.
‘In many ways, the most effective way of diminishing contact is to have a circuit-breaker.
‘Now, you could have it after Christmas, the problem is after Christmas it’s probably too late, it’s probably by then we will have had a huge surge of infections with all the impact upon society.
‘When people say ‘look, we don’t want to close down’, of course, we don’t want to close down.
‘But the problem is at the moment, things are closing down anyway, because of the spread of infection.
‘So I think we need to act now.’
A Government spokesperson said: ‘The Government will continue to look closely at all the emerging data and we’ll keep our measures under review as we learn more about this variant.’
Cabinet ministers received a briefing on Saturday on the latest situation regarding the Omicron variant.
There was no meeting of the Cabinet or further discussion, but ministers were given an update on the data surrounding the variant.
While a Cobra meeting will be held over the weekend with the devolved nations.
A further 90,418 lab-confirmed Covid-19 cases have been recorded in the UK as of 9am on Saturday, the Government said.
A further 125 people had died within 28 days of testing positive for Covid-19.
Separate figures published by the Office for National Statistics show there have now been 172,000 deaths registered in the UK where Covid-19 was mentioned on the death certificate.
Meanwhile, the World Health Organisation said the Omicron variant had been identified in 89 countries as of Thursday and had a doubling time of between 1.5 and three days.
It said data is still limited on the severity of the strain, but added: ‘Given rapidly increasing case counts, it is possible that many healthcare systems may become quickly overwhelmed.’
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